#比特币2026年行情展望 BTC 1-Hour Chart: Bulls and Bears Decide the Outcome Right Now

Currently, Bitcoin's 1-hour chart has reached the end of a symmetrical triangle consolidation, with multiple technical signals:

The price is repeatedly testing around the MA7 at 95567, but the MA30 at 96444 is still pressing down. Once the hourly chart can stabilize above the MA30, the rebound momentum will be confirmed. The Bollinger Bands have contracted to an extreme narrow range, from 95179 to 97342, which often indicates a breakout is imminent. The current price is close to the lower band; if it can hold above 95362 as support, the midline at 96261 becomes the next target for testing.

The MACD shows some interesting signs—although the histogram is still oscillating near the zero line, the lows are gradually rising. This bullish divergence suggests that once the DIF line turns upward, the 1-hour rebound will accelerate.

On-chain data also indicates activity: net outflows of BTC from exchanges have increased for three consecutive days, suggesting that large holders are stable and not rushing to sell. The number of large transactions over $10,000 has suddenly increased, implying institutions are quietly accumulating at low levels.

In terms of news: the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting at the end of the month to set interest rates. If they signal dovish policy, risk assets could have a collective rebound. Last week, the cash flow into spot ETFs turned positive, indicating market sentiment is shifting from panic to accumulation.

My strategy is: short-term rebound outlook for 1 to 3 days. As long as 95300 holds, I will buy in batches between 95500 and 95800, targeting 97000 to 97500 (this zone is the resistance area formed by the Bollinger upper band and MA30). If the price drops below 95000, I will cut losses immediately and wait for the next opportunity.

$BTC