2026-01-16 10:21:01

The recent performance of the US dollar index has been strong, although it has not yet broken through the key threshold of 100, but the local trend is clear. In this context, while risk assets like BTC still perform steadily, they also face potential pressure.

The 100 level is crucial for cryptocurrencies. As highly speculative assets, BTC is far more sensitive to changes in the strength of the US dollar than other assets. When the DXY approaches the 100 region again, the market falls into a delicate balancing point.

Key observation: The BTCDXY ratio has already approached the previously discussed bearish retest zone. Once the DXY truly breaks through and stabilizes above 100, it is very likely to trigger a rejection of the BTCDXY ratio—posing a substantial threat to BTC prices.

An optimistic scenario is that if the DXY is repelled at this resistance level, the BTCDXY ratio may recover its macro structure. However, it should be noted that both BTC and the BTCDXY weekly trends have weakened, and the weekly SMA has also lost its strong support. This means that even if there is a rebound, it is necessary to observe whether a strong weekly pattern can be re-established.

BTC-0,84%

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SocialFiQueen

· 8h ago

Uh... Is DXY breaking 100 really that scary? It seems like every time it's said, but nothing really happens.

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SellLowExpert

· 8h ago

Bro, once DXY breaks 100, it's over. Let's see how BTC gets beaten up then.

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WhaleMistaker

· 8h ago

DXY breaking 100 means it's over; this round of BTC is no longer playable.

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TokenomicsTherapist

· 8h ago

No hype, no negativity. If DXY really breaks 100 and stabilizes, BTC might be in for a hit. --- Weekly chart is weakening, still expecting a rebound? Dream on. --- 100 is just a hurdle, let's see who blinks first. --- It's that same BTCDXY logic again, fooling people every time, huh? --- The dollar is so strong, can Bitcoin still stay stable? That's a joke. --- Breaking 100 is the end, not breaking it means continuing to endure, honestly not much point. --- Weekly SMA is gone, talking about recovery structure? Be a bit realistic, everyone. --- Basically, it's about DXY's attitude; BTC's influence isn't that big. --- Risk assets can't withstand a strong dollar, it's an old story. --- A rebound requires holding the weekly line; right now, even that condition isn't met, it's nerve-wracking.

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LightningSentry

· 8h ago

Breaking below 100 will be the end, DXY is really aggressive this time... BTC is now dancing on the edge of a knife, the weekly chart is softening, and you still dare to talk about a rebound? Wait, if the BTCDXY ratio drops even lower, it might be time to buy the dip, is the opportunity here? This wave of the dollar is quite decisive, it feels like risk assets will have to take a break for a while. Where is the promised strong weekly chart? Now it really depends on how it breaks through and moves afterward. If DXY stabilizes above 100, I will go all-in and clear my positions, no more gambling.

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WhaleSurfer

· 8h ago

Is the 100 level really going to break this time? If DXY stabilizes, BTC will have to go all in the dirt. --- The weekly chart is already rotten, so what’s the point of a rebound? Be careful, brothers who are trying to bottom fish. --- It's the same old story... When DXY approaches 100, it's time to reduce your positions. --- This ratio of BTCDXY has fallen so much, is it far from breaking below? --- During periods of strong dollar, holding coins can be a bit stimulating, but I bet DXY will be pushed back. --- In reality, it all depends on whether DXY can hold above 100. If it does, we must hold our ground. --- No matter how fancy the words, it doesn't change the reality: when the dollar is strong, BTC is weak. --- Weekly SMA failure? That means the bottom line is gone. --- It feels like the market is just waiting for that DXY move to determine everything. --- Those who are firmly bullish should now consider the issue of stop-losses.

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BearMarketBuilder

· 9h ago

Will DXY breaking 100 really cause a market crash? Feels like this time is a bit different.

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