Recently, XMR's trend has been quite fierce. The rally yesterday was strong, with the price approaching the $800 mark at one point, before a more moderate pullback occurred. The short-sellers were caught off guard, with liquidations nearing $4 million, hitting a recent high.



From a technical chart perspective, the signals are quite clear. The MACD still maintains a bullish alignment, but the RSI has already surged to an extreme level of 95, which is a clear overbought signal. The long upper shadow on the daily chart, with especially high trading volume, is indicating that a short-term correction or consolidation may be imminent.

More importantly, the market's funding data shows that the perpetual contract funding rate has remained positive and has never turned negative. What does this mean? It indicates that the main capital is not retreating; the positions are tightly controlled. The entire process is about continuously fighting against the short-side counterparties, using high funding rates to squeeze out stubborn opposite orders. As long as the rate stays positive, this momentum is unlikely to reverse quickly.

From an operational standpoint, chasing longs now offers a poor risk-reward ratio. Going short is even more unrealistic—it's like picking cherries in a fire, with too much luck involved. The real opportunity lies in understanding the correction cycle and patiently waiting for a risk-controlled entry point. Paying attention to real market signals like funding rates and trading volume is often more reliable than just looking at candlestick charts.

The key at this stage is to break free from mindless follow-the-leader behavior and shift towards understanding the actual market logic and the true intentions of the main players.
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LayerZeroEnjoyervip
· 13h ago
If the fee rate doesn't turn negative and you want to go short, then just wait to get cut, haha.
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PanicSellervip
· 13h ago
The surge to $800 was indeed fierce, but unfortunately I don't have any holdings, so I can only watch those forced to liquidate cry. RSI is already at 95, and you're still chasing? Wake up, everyone. The fee rate has been positive all along, clearly indicating that the main force is long-term fishing for big gains. Retail investors should just wait patiently for opportunities. Trying to chase gains in this kind of market is just giving away money; don't even think about shorting, better to wait for a shakeout. Understanding the fee rate is much more useful than reading candlestick charts. We just lack this patience. How many people got trapped in yesterday's rally? It's hilarious. I'm never again going to take on the risk of picking cherries in the fire; last time I lost everything to the point of losing my grandmother's house. Wait for the correction, wait for the main force to truly exit—that's when our opportunity will come.
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TokenDustCollectorvip
· 14h ago
Before the fee rate turns negative, there's no way to break the deadlock. The main force's relentless squeeze play is really fierce.
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TokenEconomistvip
· 14h ago
actually, let me break this down—the funding rate staying positive is basically a textbook example of misaligned incentives, right? think of it like this: in traditional finance, you'd call this a forced squeeze situation where the carrying cost itself becomes the weapon. ceteris paribus, once that fee flips negative, the whole dynamic inverts instantly.
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MEVSandwichMakervip
· 14h ago
If the fee rate doesn't turn negative, don't expect a reversal. I agree with this logic.
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AirdropHermitvip
· 14h ago
The fee rate doesn't turn negative and just holds on; I get this logic. Waiting for a shakeout.
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