2026-01-18 15:30:37

Based on the latest technical analysis, Ethereum shows a clear short-selling signal on the 4-hour chart.

Within the current timeframe, ETH exhibits typical consolidation characteristics. The entry focus is on the key level of 3355.978, where multiple strong technical factors converge—resistance at the upper Bollinger Band, a critical support level tested nine times (with a strength of 95%), and a resonance point in the market structure.

From a risk management perspective, the stop-loss is set at 3406.318, with a corresponding risk of 1.50%, meaning that if the price breaks this level, the signal becomes invalid. The recommended position size is 1.3%, ensuring losses remain within an acceptable range.

Profit targets are set in three tiers: the first at 3280.469 (risk-reward ratio 1.5:1), the second at 3230.129 (risk-reward ratio 2.5:1), and the third at 3154.620 (risk-reward ratio 4.0:1). This layered design both protects profits and provides ample downside space for the market.

Technical support comes from multiple dimensions. The ADX strength index is 22.5, volume shows a decreasing trend, the main capital proportion is 0.6x, and price-volume coordination remains stable. The order book depth shows a buy-sell ratio of 2.27:1, indicating that the market bears are relatively stronger. Market sentiment indicators show a long-short ratio of 1.41:1, with overall sentiment leaning neutral but showing signs of warming.

The moving regression channel indicates the upper band at 3438.025, the lower support at 3151.899, and the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level is near 3328.725. The convergence of these values further validates the current short-selling signal.

The signal strength score reaches 84/100, valid for 480 minutes (from 2026-01-18 22:36:01 to 2026-01-19 06:36:01), with an estimated success probability of 70%. During this time window, the oscillating market characteristics mean that S-grade signals are relatively rare, making opportunities worth noting when they appear.

A special reminder: the current market is not close to historical key levels, which enhances the purity of the technical signals. The volatility of the cryptocurrency market is well known; strict position control and necessary stop-loss settings are prerequisites for trading survival. This analysis is provided solely for technical reference; actual operations should be adjusted flexibly based on individual risk tolerance and real-time market conditions.

ETH-3,15%

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BuyTheTop

· 16h ago

70% success rate? Man, these numbers are a bit suspicious. In a volatile market, it's easiest to get chopped up.

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ProbablyNothing

· 16h ago

A 84-point signal sounds good, but I still trust my intuition more... It's hard to say how far this bearish wave can go.

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ForkTrooper

· 16h ago

3355 this position is indeed tightly locked, an 84 rating is a bit of a face-saving move --- It's a 70% probability again, why is it always so high --- I usually run away when doing volume-reducing shorts, it's not interesting --- Within 480 minutes? That’s basically saying nothing --- The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is already torn apart, what’s there to fuss about --- 1.3% position size, are you playing around or genuinely scared --- Fibonacci is back again, when will this old guy stop being effective --- Long-short ratio is 1.41, what can such a small gap decide, forget it --- Nine repeated tests? What does it mean, it shows the bulls are not giving up yet --- Those three target levels are similar, feels like self-comfort

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SnapshotLaborer

· 16h ago

An 84-minute signal sounds good, but I trust my intuition more. Is ETH really going to drop this time? --- In a volatile market, a 1.3% position is indeed stable. The question is, can you buy the dip all the way down? --- A 70% success rate, what about the remaining 30%? Has no one told failure stories? --- Position at 3328 looks good, but I'm just worried about a false breakout again. --- A 1.5% stop loss sounds small, but in actual operation, a slight tremor can wipe it out. Understand? --- Bollinger Band resistance, Fibonacci, ADX... a bunch of data, but the market still depends on the main players' mood. --- Is a 480-minute window this tight? Probably just rushing to meet a deadline and forcing it. --- I've seen quite a few short signals, but many of them ended up rallying instead. Really this time? --- A 1.41 long-short ratio and still dare to call it neutral? This data seems a bit fishy.

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ColdWalletGuardian

· 16h ago

The 84-minute signal sounds pretty good, but I still have to wait, after all, this wave of the market is a bit strange. Wait, no, why does it keep testing around the 3300 level repeatedly? Feels like there's a deeper trick. I won't chase the order. Setting a stop loss at 1.5% is enough; anything more and I won't be able to sleep. When will a perfect signal really be perfect once? I'm a bit exhausted. I'll just watch for now, not planning to get in yet. Let's see if it breaks the level.

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