2026-01-18 16:26:57

Bitcoin's price movement logic is very clear — it perfectly aligns with the rhythm expected at higher timeframes.

Looking back at the charts from the past few years, it becomes clear: 2024 is a typical expansion phase, after a long period of sideways movement, followed by a breakout upward. Now, in 2025, we see distribution near the cycle high — which is a normal accumulation-distribution cycle. And 2026? That should be the window for reset and re-accumulation.

Interestingly, BTC's current pullback is just right. It has retraced to a previous strong demand zone, which has supported the market multiple times before. From a macro cycle perspective, this is not a bad thing; rather, it provides better opportunities for participants. That’s how the market operates — it always gives you a chance to get on board.

BTC-2,35%

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screenshot_gains

· 8h ago

It's another cycle theory, I've been listening for three years haha. But this time, it seems to have some logic. When the market is good, everyone can tell stories. The key is whether 2026 can really reset. I think it depends on the Federal Reserve's stance. Anyway, I haven't dared to add positions at the current level. I feel like I should wait a bit longer.

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TokenStorm

· 8h ago

Talking about macro cycles again? I'm actually more interested in what the on-chain data is saying. Whale addresses have been less active these days. Can this demand zone really hold up? I bet it can't, but I still have to hold my position and wait. Distributing cycles sound very professional, but it's really just a gamble on who will be the last bag-holder. I've already accepted my fate. Reset in 2026? Bro, your prediction span is a bit too long. I only dare to look as far as next Friday. I've heard the phrase "a pullback provides an opportunity" too many times. Every time, I get beaten up, but I still come back.

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ImpermanentPhilosopher

· 8h ago

That's right, that's exactly how I see it. This position is indeed the time to accumulate, don't panic. --- It's the same old accumulation and distribution routine. Believe it or not, I believe it. --- Talking about the 2026 story now is still too early. First, let's understand this wave of market action. --- Repetition of history? Or does BTC just love to mess around like this. --- As long as the demand zone hasn't collapsed, there's still hope. This logic makes sense. --- Giving you a chance to get on board? Just listen, the market isn't that gentle. --- The more clearly you explain the cycle, the easier it is to get slapped in the face. --- Breaking in 2024, distributing in 2025, resetting in 2026—just line up a timetable and it's done? --- I just want to know how long this correction can actually hold. --- Feels like every time it's "giving you a chance," and then after cutting, it keeps falling.

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PoetryOnChain

· 8h ago

Accumulation and distribution theory has been talked about so much that your ears are getting calloused. Just want to ask one thing... why do your minute-level precise predictions keep failing every time?

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ShamedApeSeller