2026-01-18 19:23:13

PEPE's recent rally has indeed been strong, but it also exposes a problem—its divergence rate has already reached a historical high, and the trading volume is starting to shrink, indicating that the upward momentum is slowing down. This trend is almost identical to RIVER's previous performance, both showing a pattern of rapid divergence followed by a correction.

In my opinion, the shorting opportunity is right in front of us. The strategy is to directly establish short positions at recent resistance levels. Use 20x leverage to maximize gains; as long as you capture about 1% of the mean reversion space, you can lock in a 20% profit. To put it simply, don't be greedy—take quick entries and exits.

But the most critical part here is that stop-losses must be strict. Set the stop-loss firmly above the previous high, and never let emotions influence your decisions. The market will test your bottom line, and only by maintaining discipline can you survive longer. The price action patterns of RIVER and PEPE are laid out here; as long as execution is in place, this correction phase can be profitable.

PEPE-9,47%

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WalletInspector

· 5h ago

Reduced volume lagging确实是信号，但20x这杠杆...真的敢下？ --- RIVER那波我没跟上，现在又来一遍？总感觉会被市场反向试探 --- 乖离率历史高位说明啥，难不成真要修复？有点心动但还是先观察观察 --- 止损铁血我同意，但快进快出说得容易啊，真到了执行那刻又是两回事 --- 空单布局听起来逻辑清楚，就是害怕被打穿前高...这次会重演吗 --- 均线回归1%空间就能20%？这算法我怎么感觉不太对劲 --- PEPE最近确实有点诡异，量能萎缩配涨势，确实该警惕了 --- 纪律这东西说起来简单，真亏钱时谁还守得住啊，说实话 --- 前高防线这个思路靠谱，就看能不能真的不被情绪绑架

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gaslight_gasfeez

· 6h ago

Deviations surge high with decreasing volume. I've seen this routine too many times, and it's true. But with a 20x leverage, you need to be mentally prepared; otherwise, you'll get a harsh lesson from the market in the end. A volume-decreasing rally is indeed risky; it all depends on who can exit first. PEPE feels a bit overextended this time; a pullback is just a matter of time. Set your stop-loss properly; don't fight with yourself. Listening to the idea of a recovery market sounds simple, but actual operation is very difficult. Execution is easier said than done. Quick in and out sounds exciting, but few can truly do it. With such a high deviation, it's definitely time to be cautious. Earning 20% with 20x leverage is possible, but losing can be quite painful. Risk management is the key. The logic of moving averages returning to the mean is reliable, provided your predictions are accurate. Decisions driven by emotions—I've done that quite a few times too.

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LongTermDreamer

· 6h ago

Haha, it's the same story again. When I heard RIVER three years ago, someone said the same thing, and we all know how that turned out. 20x leverage in and out quickly sounds easy, but in reality, it's easy to lose money fast, and no one can really stick to discipline. However, the divergence rate is indeed worth paying attention to; I just don't dare to bet on a short position.

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SchrödingersNode

· 7h ago

I've heard the phrase "volume contraction lag" so many times. Last time, RIVER also said the same thing, and it still went up three times. I'm a bit hesitant now.

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ColdWalletAnxiety

· 7h ago

Deviations rise sharply with decreasing volume. I've definitely seen this pattern before... However, using 20x leverage is honestly a bit of gambling, and the risk feels quite high. I also watched that RIVER move; the recovery was indeed fierce, but many people were stopped out as well. Quick in and out sounds simple, who wouldn't want to execute it? The key is mental discipline. Anyway, I'll stay on the sidelines for now and wait for a confirmed signal.

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BearMarketBuyer

· 7h ago

Decreasing volume peaks, I've seen this routine too many times. PEPE might be in for some losses this time. --- Talking about 20x leverage casually, but when it comes to cutting losses, you'll really feel the pain. --- A divergence spike doesn't necessarily mean a reversal. Don't be fooled by these indicators. --- I didn't catch that RIVER move, and I definitely won't dare to act this time. Let's wait and see. --- Quick in and out? Easier said than done, huh. --- Setting stop-loss at the previous high is indeed brave, but the problem is that many can't execute it. --- Feels like they're just telling stories again. Let's wait and see. --- A 20% profit sounds good, but I'm worried about losing it even faster. --- If this recovery trend really comes, someone would have already taken profits. No need to keep shouting about it now.

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OvertimeSquid

· 7h ago

Deviations this high are really dangerous. I see this signal too, but 20x leverage? Brother, you're really brave. --- Quick in and out sounds easy, but I'm just afraid of getting caught in a flash. That's been my blood and tears lesson. --- Setting stop-loss at the previous high, easy to say. When it comes to that moment, who doesn't want to hold on a bit? --- PEPE's trend indeed resembles RIVER, but it's never a perfect copy each time. Be careful not to be fooled by patterns. --- A 20% profit sounds good, but only if you can truly execute discipline cold-bloodedly. Don't let FOMO eat your profits. --- The volume contraction and upward trend is indeed a signal, but I think short positions should also be cautious about entry points. --- If this wave truly recovers, it depends on the subsequent breakdown situation; otherwise, it's just a rebound trap. --- As for leverage, you'll know whether to go in after experiencing how many liquidation events.

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