2026-01-18 20:20:28

Bitcoin keeps fluctuating, and I just know—the big show of altcoins is about to start.

Over the years in the crypto world, I've experienced too many situations where prices drop right after buying or rise right after selling. But it's precisely because of these stumbles that I've gradually understood the market pulse. The cycle of cryptocurrencies is like a pendulum, constantly replaying the same story—when Bitcoin's dominance reaches a high, capital flows like a tide into those undervalued corners.

The current market situation is almost a copy-paste of the two waves in 2017 and 2021. Loose liquidity expectations, diversified institutional allocation needs, the gradual maturity of Layer2 and public chain ecosystems... all conditions are in place. However, this time, the driving force behind the market isn't just a vague story, but real on-chain data and visible token models.

01 Why am I so confident that the altcoin season is coming?

Key signals need to be observed carefully.

**Bitcoin's dominance(BTC.D) is declining**. This indicator reflects Bitcoin's market cap share within the entire crypto market. When BTC.D continues to weaken, what does it mean? It indicates that funds are shifting from Bitcoin to other coins. Historical data is clear—once BTC.D drops below 55%, the altcoin active period begins. Although it hasn't fully broken down yet, you can clearly feel that capital is quietly positioning in quality altcoins.

**Ethereum is playing the leading role**. As the largest altcoin by market cap, ETH always leads the charge in such markets. Watch the ETH/BTC exchange rate—once this ratio strengthens, the altcoin season is really not far away.

BTC-2,73%

ETH-3,41%

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ContractSurrender

· 9h ago

Oh no, another cycle theory. Is this one true or false? Probably just going to get trapped again haha --- BTC.D breaking 55%—is it the start of the altcoin season? I feel like I've heard this phrase every cycle, and yet I still get cut. --- Wait, this guy says data-driven isn't just storytelling, so why am I still afraid to go all in... --- Sounds good, but as I turn around, I still say—the best is to manage your own principal, everyone. --- No, no, last time I listened to this kind of analysis, I lost money. This time, I’ll just lie flat and observe. --- ETH leading the charge? I just want to ask, when has it ever truly led? --- Hmm, but on the other hand, BTC consolidating for so long does feel like some big news is coming. --- Uh... this logic sounds reasonable, but I still trust my own stop-loss line more.

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GameFiCritic

· 9h ago

Is this another routine? When BTC.D drops below 55%, is it the start of the altcoin season? Stop joking. The premise of history repeating itself is that this time no one gets caught holding the bag, but now... A bunch of zero-profit meme coins waiting for bagholders. I just want to ask—whose "token model" is truly worth watching? ROI efficiency or that false prosperity trick? Sustainable growth is even more of a joke. It's better to honestly look at on-chain activity and real-world applications. ETH leading the charge is fine, but don’t pin all hopes for the altcoin season on this. My optimism about leverage quality is really waning this time.

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MissedAirdropBro

· 9h ago

Here we go again. This excuse is the same every year. I just want to ask—when BTC.D broke 55%, why didn't you all run?

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GateUser-1a2ed0b9

· 9h ago

It's the same story again. Every time BTC fluctuates, people say the altcoin season is coming. But what happens? It just gets trapped again. ETH leading the pack? I think it's more like a scapegoat; it doesn't fall without dragging others down.

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PumpingCroissant

· 9h ago

Here we go again? Every time, you say altcoins are about to take off, but my wallet is still in the red. Hey, don't worry. I've heard about BTC.D breaking 55% too many times, and in the end, I still got cut. Leading with ETH? Wake up. Right now, everyone is bottom-fishing Bitcoin, not showing off altcoins. Feels like this is just another story. Where are the real data? What’s the matter? Starting to tell stories again? I only look at on-chain data, I only look at the money. Wait, are you really sure this cycle is the same as 2017 and 2021? Why do I feel the market has become smarter? Same old tune... I'm really afraid of getting scammed again.

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NotFinancialAdviser