I reckon the past year's bitcoin underperformance versus gold boils down to a few factors playing out simultaneously. You've got early holders—folks with cost basis under $100—cashing out in waves, which is inevitable after sitting on these gains for years. Then there's the four-year cycle dynamics kicking in around the market peak timing. What makes it more interesting is the ongoing portfolio reallocation happening right now. People who'd gone all-in on crypto are gradually rebalancing their positions as we approach what some reckon will be a prolonged consolidation phase stretching into 2026. It's not just price action; it's behavioral—these macro waves of holders making simultaneous moves create the narrative we're seeing play out in the gold versus bitcoin comparison.
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GoldDiggerDuck
· 5h ago
Early investors definitely should cash out and secure their gains. After all, holding for so many years also comes with psychological pressure.
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SundayDegen
· 5h ago
Early veteran holders cashing out are indeed causing a dump; this move can't be escaped.
To be honest, I believe in the four-year cycle, but extending it to 2026 is a bit exaggerated.
Basically, retail investors panic-buying and running away, while institutions are accumulating chips.
The data looks good, but holdings are shrinking, which is the most heartbreaking.
Anyway, I remain optimistic, just don't go all-in at this stage.
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FrontRunFighter
· 5h ago
nah this is just coordinated dump narrative theater, the real story's happening in the dark forest where actual capital flows. those "early holders" cashing out? convenient cover for what looks like systematic MEV extraction dressed up as natural market cycles. gas wars and sandwich attacks don't just disappear into portfolio rebalancing talk.
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NotFinancialAdvice
· 5h ago
Old crypto folks should have cashed out long ago; holding for so long, it's time to take a break.
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FalseProfitProphet
· 5h ago
Early holders cashing out is nothing new; it's quite reasonable to sell when you can make a profit.
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rekt_but_vibing
· 5h ago
Bro, this analysis has some substance. The early players cashing out definitely contributed to the dump.
I reckon the past year's bitcoin underperformance versus gold boils down to a few factors playing out simultaneously. You've got early holders—folks with cost basis under $100—cashing out in waves, which is inevitable after sitting on these gains for years. Then there's the four-year cycle dynamics kicking in around the market peak timing. What makes it more interesting is the ongoing portfolio reallocation happening right now. People who'd gone all-in on crypto are gradually rebalancing their positions as we approach what some reckon will be a prolonged consolidation phase stretching into 2026. It's not just price action; it's behavioral—these macro waves of holders making simultaneous moves create the narrative we're seeing play out in the gold versus bitcoin comparison.