Gold surged to 4766 this morning in one go, with an intraday increase of nearly 2%. Several driving factors behind this rally are worth noting. The US dollar index continues to weaken, market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March are heating up, and combined with US initial jobless claims data exceeding expectations, all these are fueling gold's rise. Meanwhile, US stocks have fallen more than 1.7%, risk assets are cooling off, and safe-haven funds are flooding into gold, making the scene quite lively.
From a technical perspective, the 1-hour chart shows a clear bullish trend, and there are sufficient signals of capital inflow. If you want to participate, you can consider a small long position if the price stabilizes between 4750 and 4755. Setting a stop loss below 4740 would be more prudent. Looking upward, if the price breaks 4766, 4780 is a reasonable target, but be cautious about chasing the high to avoid being caught in a pullback after overbought conditions.
The key now is to watch for signs of a rebound in the US dollar and pay attention to tonight’s macroeconomic speeches. The bullish outlook is clear, but given the rapid short-term gains, there's no need to be greedy. Taking profits when the move looks good is often the safest choice. If the price falls below 4730, it’s safer to exit decisively and wait on the sidelines.
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Gold surged to 4766 this morning in one go, with an intraday increase of nearly 2%. Several driving factors behind this rally are worth noting. The US dollar index continues to weaken, market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March are heating up, and combined with US initial jobless claims data exceeding expectations, all these are fueling gold's rise. Meanwhile, US stocks have fallen more than 1.7%, risk assets are cooling off, and safe-haven funds are flooding into gold, making the scene quite lively.
From a technical perspective, the 1-hour chart shows a clear bullish trend, and there are sufficient signals of capital inflow. If you want to participate, you can consider a small long position if the price stabilizes between 4750 and 4755. Setting a stop loss below 4740 would be more prudent. Looking upward, if the price breaks 4766, 4780 is a reasonable target, but be cautious about chasing the high to avoid being caught in a pullback after overbought conditions.
The key now is to watch for signs of a rebound in the US dollar and pay attention to tonight’s macroeconomic speeches. The bullish outlook is clear, but given the rapid short-term gains, there's no need to be greedy. Taking profits when the move looks good is often the safest choice. If the price falls below 4730, it’s safer to exit decisively and wait on the sidelines.