Gold performed strongly today, soaring directly to 4766 in the early trading session, with an intraday increase of nearly 2%. Several factors are contributing to this rally: the US dollar has been somewhat weak over the past two days, coupled with rising market expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March, which has also activated risk aversion sentiment. Additionally, US initial jobless claims data exceeded expectations, and the US stock market fell more than 1.7%, all driving funds into gold.
From a technical perspective, the 1-hour bullish trend is quite clear, and there are sufficient signals of capital inflow. For intraday trading, you can consider going long with a small position when the price stabilizes around 4750-4755, with a stop-loss below 4740. On the upside, targets can be set at 4780. However, avoid chasing the high; the current gains are already significant, so be cautious of a potential pullback from overbought conditions.
The key next step is to closely monitor the US dollar rebound and pay attention to tonight’s macroeconomic speeches, as these could cause fluctuations in gold prices. While the bullish trend is clear, the short-term gains have been quite rapid. Taking profits when the situation looks good is the most prudent strategy—don’t be greedy. If the price breaks below 4730, it’s best to exit decisively and wait for clearer opportunities.
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New_Ser_Ngmi
· 9h ago
Gold has been quite fierce this wave, but I still think 4780 might be uncertain; it depends on how the dollar moves.
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The rate cut expectation is heating up, but don’t be fooled by the plunge in US stocks. If it drops below 4730, I’ll decisively run, no discussion.
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Go long with a small position, take profits when the time is right. Greedy traders all get caught in overbought pullbacks. I’ve learned my lesson.
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What’s the latest on the Federal Reserve? Tonight’s speech will be the real game-changer.
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Entering at 4750 is a bit aggressive. I’ll wait for stabilization first. Anyway, gold isn’t going anywhere.
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Is it reliable that risk aversion sentiment is activating? I always feel the US stock rebound will be quickly countered.
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Tight stop-loss at 4740 is too strict. I usually leave more room to avoid being shaken out.
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GasFeeCryBaby
· 9h ago
Gold has been quite volatile these past two days, but I think this rally has gone up a bit too quickly. Don't get caught up in the hype.
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MagicBean
· 9h ago
This wave of gold is indeed fierce, but can 4780 really be reached? It feels like the risk is quite high.
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CryptoSurvivor
· 9h ago
Gold has indeed been aggressive this wave, but I think the 4766 level is a bit risky, and the danger isn't small.
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Weakening dollar and expectations of rate cuts make it normal for funds to pile into gold. The question is how far can it run.
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Don't even mention 4780, I just want to know if we can hold 4750, otherwise it will be another wave of backlash.
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There's nothing wrong with the saying "Take profits when the time is right," but unfortunately 90% of people can't do it, and end up losing badly.
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Decisively exit if it breaks 4730; this bottom line is quite clear, now it's just a matter of who can really follow through.
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Macro statements are the real troublemakers. Last time, I misheard a sentence and got hammered; I'm a bit wary of this stuff.
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Trading long with a small position sounds easy, but in practice, who isn't heavily invested when they get in? That's just self-deception.
Gold performed strongly today, soaring directly to 4766 in the early trading session, with an intraday increase of nearly 2%. Several factors are contributing to this rally: the US dollar has been somewhat weak over the past two days, coupled with rising market expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March, which has also activated risk aversion sentiment. Additionally, US initial jobless claims data exceeded expectations, and the US stock market fell more than 1.7%, all driving funds into gold.
From a technical perspective, the 1-hour bullish trend is quite clear, and there are sufficient signals of capital inflow. For intraday trading, you can consider going long with a small position when the price stabilizes around 4750-4755, with a stop-loss below 4740. On the upside, targets can be set at 4780. However, avoid chasing the high; the current gains are already significant, so be cautious of a potential pullback from overbought conditions.
The key next step is to closely monitor the US dollar rebound and pay attention to tonight’s macroeconomic speeches, as these could cause fluctuations in gold prices. While the bullish trend is clear, the short-term gains have been quite rapid. Taking profits when the situation looks good is the most prudent strategy—don’t be greedy. If the price breaks below 4730, it’s best to exit decisively and wait for clearer opportunities.