Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Wednesday, January 21, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀Loyal fans check-in 👍Like and get rich 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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U.S. stocks closed on Tuesday, with the Dow initially down 1.76%, the S&P 500 down 2.06%, and the Nasdaq down 2.39%. According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 5%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 95%. By March, the chance of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 20.6%, with an 78.5% chance of no change, and a 0.9% chance of a 50 basis point cut. The crypto market declined across the board, with Bitcoin breaking below 90,000 and Ethereum below the psychological level of 3,000. The crypto market remains in a weak adjustment pattern. Macroeconomic geopolitical risks and uncertainties in Federal Reserve policy expectations will continue to influence market sentiment. This week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting (January 27-28) statements may become the key catalyst for the next phase of market trends. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance and further delays rate cuts, it could exert additional pressure on the crypto market; if signs of easing in tariff disputes emerge, the market may see a phased rebound and recovery. Stay tuned as Yibo continues to track core signals such as Fed policy implementation, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time updates on layout strategies and target assets.

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Bitcoin opened yesterday around $92,800 and then entered a unilateral downtrend, dominated by bearish sentiment. During the midday session, the price quickly dropped to $90,600, entering a brief consolidation phase. At this time, slight buying attempts appeared, pushing the price to rebound to $91,400 in the evening. However, the rebound momentum was extremely weak, unable to break through the previous oscillation lower boundary, and the bears quickly regained control, resuming the decline. In the early hours, Bitcoin accelerated downward to $89,200, forming a brief sideways consolidation at this level, with both bulls and bears stalemated. However, support was limited, and in the early morning today, bears regained strength, pushing the price down to a low of $87,700, creating a recent correction low before a temporary stabilization. As of now, Bitcoin remains weakly oscillating at low levels, with a 24-hour decline of 5.27%, and trading volume expanding to $37.123 billion, reflecting concentrated selling pressure. The current market pattern shows a clear downward trend, with technical signals strongly bearish. The dark cloud cover pattern and bearish alignment of moving averages create a strong bearish resonance. After breaking key moving averages and entering a death cross, short-term momentum has increased, indicating further downside risk. However, the extreme shrinking of volume combined with falling prices conflicts, and the volume-price relationship has not confirmed the price trend, suggesting a lack of sufficient selling pressure support. Key resistance is concentrated in the $91,000-$92,800 range, which is also under EMA pressure. Without effective breakout, the weak pattern may continue. Support levels are around $87,700 in the short term; if broken, further decline toward the previous low near $85,000 is possible.

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Ethereum’s trend is more weak than Bitcoin. After peaking at $3,235 in the previous trading day, it began a downward wave yesterday, testing a low of $3,164 in the early morning. A false rebound followed, but persistent pressure at the key $3,200 level prevented effective bullish recovery. In the afternoon, bears regained control, with the price dropping rapidly, reaching a low of $3,080 after midday, then entering a sideways consolidation phase. During this period, bullish volume was scarce, unable to reverse the weak trend. In the evening, Ethereum’s decline resumed, and in the early hours, it broke through the psychological level of $3,000, briefly consolidating around $2,980. The early morning selling pressure continued, pushing the price down again to a low of $2,914, then entering a slight correction. Currently, Ethereum is in a clear downtrend, with technical signals showing the price below moving averages, and momentum strengthening, indicating dominant bearish forces. The MA/EMA bearish alignment and engulfing patterns create a strong bearish resonance, further confirming the market’s downside bias. However, the price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating short-term oversold conditions. Volume remains extremely low, and the volume-price relationship is unhealthy, with insufficient rebound strength. Resistance levels are at the $3,000 mark, which has shifted from support to strong resistance, with secondary resistance in the $3,155-$3,200 range. Support is focused around $2,900-$2,914; if broken, further declines toward the $2,800-$2,850 demand zone are possible.