#数字资产市场动态 Yesterday morning, $BTC faced resistance at 93500 and turned around, then oscillated and fell back. I decisively closed my long positions near the 92500 cost area, successfully avoiding a decline of about 5000 points that followed — the key to this market movement lies in rhythm and position management. A long order has already been set in the 87500 range below, waiting for a rebound opportunity, but leverage and position size must be strictly controlled.

From a macro perspective, the Federal Reserve's actions remain an important variable influencing market sentiment. According to the latest data from CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is only 5%, while the probability of holding rates steady is as high as 95%. Looking ahead to March, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 20.6%, the chance of maintaining the current stance is 78.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is less than 1%. This indicates that in the short term, the Fed's stance is hawkish, and support for the crypto market is limited; risk management is especially critical.