#数字资产市场动态 My cousin invested 5000U to enter the market, and after three days, his account was only left with 3200. He asked me if he was just unlucky, so I reviewed his trading records — all his trades were full leverage, adding to the position after three mistakes, and if he made two more mistakes, he would blow up his account. It's a typical case of "seeing the right direction, but losing the position."

I organized these insights for him, and after three months, his account recovered to over 4800. Although it wasn't the thrill of getting rich quickly, at least he could sleep peacefully. Today, I want to share these practical experiences as a starting point.
**First Tip: Divide your funds into five parts, with each trade's stop loss firmly set at 2%**
Split your total capital into five equal parts, and only use 20% of one part per trade. Set the stop loss at -2% in advance. Even if you lose five times in a row, the maximum loss is only 10%, leaving room for a comeback. On-chain data shows that new traders have an average trading frequency of 21 times in the first month. Using this method, the maximum drawdown dropped from 38% to 9%.
**Second Tip: Follow the major trend, don't rely on faith to bottom fish**
In December 2023, BTC's daily EMA30 started trending downward. I advised him not to rush into bottom fishing, and he stayed in cash. As a result, the price fell all the way to 40k, and he avoided a 25% decline. Later, I realized that trend-following is much more reliable than shouting slogans on forums.
**Third Tip: Don't touch coins that rise 300% in three days**
Coins that surge wildly tend to retrace about 80% within two weeks, indicating a pump-and-dump scheme. In December last year, a MEME coin surged 450% in one day, but he resisted chasing the move. Five days later, the coin returned to its starting point. Safety is the most valuable.
**Fourth Tip: MACD zero line is like a traffic light**
A bullish signal (golden cross) below the zero line is worth considering long positions, while a death cross above the zero line suggests reducing holdings. This basic indicator can filter out about 50% of false signals, with a backtest success rate of 64%, much more reliable than relying on intuition.
**Fifth Tip: Only add to profitable trades, don't average down on losing trades**
Add to a winning position every 10% gain, but don't average down on losing positions — it only deepens the trap. He used this method to grow his SOL profit from 0% to 38%, while others who averaged down were still stuck at -15%.
**Sixth Tip: No volume means no market**
Low-volume rise at a low price indicates genuine capital inflow; high-volume stagnation at a high price suggests main players are distributing. When APT broke out on December 9, the volume was very high. He took a small position, and when volume shrank the next day, he reduced his position, avoiding a subsequent 12% drop.
**Seventh Tip: Moving averages are your navigation**
Use the 3-day MA to catch intraday rhythm, the 30-day MA for medium-term trend, the 84-day MA to follow the main upward wave, and the 120-day MA to define the long-term pattern. Where the price stands relative to these lines, use that as a reference. Don't guess tops or bottoms; follow the trend to avoid getting lost.
**Eighth Tip: Review yourself three times a day**
Ask yourself: Is my logic sound? Are the signals truly confirmed? Am I being led by emotions? Write it down in a memo, review it weekly. He persisted for a month and realized that 83% of his losses came from emotional trading, so he blacklisted his impulsiveness.
Markets are always there, opportunities can appear at any time. To stay on beat and reduce confusion, you need these proven methodologies.