Stellar (XLM) Historical Price and Return Analysis: Should I buy XLM now?

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Summary

This article provides a comprehensive review of Stellar (XLM)'s historical prices and market fluctuations since its inception, combining data from bull and bear market phases. It evaluates the potential returns for investors purchasing 10 XLM and answers the key question, “Should I buy XLM now?” to help both beginners and long-term investors grasp timing and growth opportunities.

Beginning of Bull Market and Early Market Cycles: Historical Price Review (2018 to 2020)

Stellar (XLM) was initiated by Jed McCaleb, one of the founders of Ripple. Its early trading price was approximately $0.393. As a blockchain project building decentralized gateways for transferring digital currencies and fiat currencies, XLM attracted attention for its strong network throughput and low-cost features.

Below are the price changes of XLM during the initial market phase:

2018

  • Opening Price: $0.393
  • Closing Price: $0.119
  • Highest Price: $0.4493
  • Lowest Price: $0.0957
  • Annual Return: -69.72%

2019

  • Opening Price: $0.101
  • Closing Price: $0.0454
  • Highest Price: $0.1426
  • Lowest Price: $0.0454
  • Annual Return: -55.05%

2020

  • Opening Price: $0.0485
  • Closing Price: $0.1363
  • Highest Price: $0.1941
  • Lowest Price: $0.0372
  • Annual Return: 181.03%

An investor who bought 10 XLM in 2018 and sold at the end of 2020 would have experienced a potential return of -81.52%. If purchased in 2019, the return would be 11%; if bought in 2020, the return would be 163%.

Bear Market Adjustment and Mid-term Market Cycle: Return and Risk Analysis (2021 to 2022)

During this period, XLM’s price experienced a sharp decline after a short-term rally. In 2021, the annual return was only 2.21%, but the highest price reached $0.7106 during the year. In 2022, amid a major market correction, the price dropped by 72.24%.

Potential returns for purchasing 10 XLM during this phase:

  • 2021: -74.21%
  • 2022: -49.52%

Recent Market Cycle: Should I buy XLM now? (2023 to 2026 so far)

In recent years, XLM has experienced significant volatility. In 2023, it rebounded with an annual return of 67.26%. The following year, 2024, saw a strong rally with an annual return of 282.65%. However, in 2025, the price declined again by 44.9%, and in 2026 so far, it has continued to decline slightly by 5.74%.

2023

  • Opening Price: $0.07718
  • Closing Price: $0.12909
  • Highest Price: $0.156613
  • Lowest Price: $0.07718
  • Annual Return: 67.26%

2024

  • Opening Price: $0.11519
  • Closing Price: $0.44077
  • Highest Price: $0.56032
  • Lowest Price: $0.08392
  • Annual Return: 282.65%

2025

  • Opening Price: $0.4229
  • Closing Price: $0.233
  • Highest Price: $0.47055
  • Lowest Price: $0.21648
  • Annual Return: -44.9%

2026 (so far)

  • Opening Price: $0.22437
  • Closing Price: $0.21148
  • Highest Price: $0.22437
  • Lowest Price: $0.21148
  • Annual Return: -5.74%

Potential returns for an investor buying 10 XLM during this period:

  • 2023: 134%
  • 2024: 96.29%
  • 2025: -211.42%
  • 2026 so far: -12.89%

Conclusion: Bull Market, Bear Market, and Investment Timing Analysis

By analyzing XLM’s historical prices and potential returns, we observe that the asset exhibits high volatility. From the early bear market in 2018 to a strong rebound in 2020, followed by a significant rise in 2024, and then a correction in 2025-2026, XLM’s price movements reflect the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market. Currently, XLM is in a correction phase. Investors should carefully evaluate market fundamentals and risk tolerance rather than simply follow past gains when making decisions.

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