Evening of 2.25


Big Brother's 4-hour chart shows a small bullish candle, but trading volume remains sluggish. The lack of volume rebound indicates that the bulls' attacking strength is severely lacking. Short-term recovery appears more like a technical correction after an oversold condition rather than a trend reversal.

On the technical side, the MACD double lines are still below the zero axis. Even if the DIF crosses above DEA to form a golden cross and the momentum histogram turns red, these are only signs of a rebound within a weak zone and do not constitute a mid-term reversal. The current market continues to show a weak oscillating downward structure with successive lower highs and diminishing rebound strength, with clear resistance levels exerting pressure.

On the macroeconomic level, pressures remain. Tariff policy disturbances and Middle East geopolitical risks continue to ferment, leading to overall weak sentiment in risk assets. The bear market structure remains unchanged. Without volume support or a fundamental shift, the market is unlikely to sustain a reversal.

Suggestions:
Big Brother: Around 66,000, 66,500, with a target of 64,800. If broken, continue to watch 63,800-63,000.
Second Brother: Around 1,930-1,950, with a target of 1,860-1,815. If broken, look at 1,780.
XRP7,89%
ETH11,71%
BTC7,14%
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