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“There Is a Right Price and Wrong Price”: Paramount Skydance (PSKY) Seals $110 Billion Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) Deal
Paramount Skydance PSKY +20.84% ▲ has agreed to acquire Warner Bros Discovery WBD -2.19% ▼ in a $110 billion deal that will reshape the media space. The equity value stands at $81 billion, and the deal is set to close in the third quarter of 2026. Warner Bros shareholders are expected to vote in the spring.
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The agreement ends a long bidding war with Netflix NFLX +13.77% ▲ , which chose not to raise its $27.75-per-share offer. Paramount raised its bid to $31 per share, and Warner’s board called it the better proposal. Netflix will receive a $2.80 billion termination fee after Paramount stepped in to cover the breakup cost.
As a result, investors rewarded Netflix shares, which rose nearly 14% on the day of the news. Shares of Paramount also jumped about 21%. Analysts viewed Netflix’s move as a sign of pricing discipline. Ben Barringer of Quilter Cheviot said, “What you want from a management team is an ability to look at acquisitions, value them, pay what they think is a fair price, but to not overpay.”
Meanwhile, Paramount is making a large bet. The total value of $110 billion includes debt, and the deal values Warner at roughly 13 times its expected earnings before interest and tax. That is well above Paramount’s own valuation of nearly 7 times earnings. Funding will include $47 billion in equity from the Ellison family and RedBird Capital, along with $54 billion in debt from major banks. Paramount also raised its reverse termination fee to $7 billion to show confidence that the deal will close.
Scale and Debt in Focus
If approved, the combined company would control a film library of more than 15,000 titles. It would bring together brands such as HBO, CNN, CBS, and franchises including Harry Potter, Mission Impossible, Game of Thrones, and the DC Universe. The companies pledged to release at least 30 films in theaters each year and expect more than $6 billion in cost savings from tech and staff overlap.
However, the path is not free of risk. California’s attorney general said the review will be “vigorous,” and the Writers Guild of America warned, “The loss of competition would be a disaster for writers, consumers, and the entire entertainment industry.” In contrast, sources told Reuters that EU approval is unlikely to be a hurdle.
For Paramount, the logic is clear. The firm has lagged in streaming, and adding HBO Max and Discovery+ would lift its content base. Dan Coatsworth of AJ Bell said Paramount “needs Warner Bros’ content and capabilities to play catch-up.” Even so, he added, there is “a right price and wrong price for any acquisition, and the pressure is now on Paramount to prove the big financial outlay is worth it.”
What Is the Price Target for PSKY Stock?
On the Street, Paramount Skydance has a Moderate Buy consensus view, based on eight analysts’ ratings. The average PSKY stock price stands at $11.83, implying a 12.44% downside from the current price.
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