Analysis and summary of mainstream market trends - Factors affecting market fluctuations in the short term: MtGox/US PCE data released on Friday/ECB interest rate decision next week:

（1）The Bitcoin wallet of MtGox today continuously transferred multiple BTC to an unknown address starting with 1Jbe. At 9 o'clock, 12240 coins were transferred (5 transactions of 2K and 1 transaction of 2.24K), at 10:39, 14057 coins were transferred, at 10:57, 16589 coins were transferred, and at 12:46, 32499 BTC were transferred. Currently, a total of 9 transactions have been made, totaling 75385 BTC on the same day. (MtGox has been an old joke throughout several bull and bear cycles, with multiple transfers to the same address, not excluding the possibility of private agreement trades or collaboration with market shorting.) (2) The United States will release April PCE data on Friday night this week. During the wait for the PCE data, it may cause some institutional buyers to adopt a wait-and-see attitude. (3) BTC has broken through the threshold of 70000, but there is still some upward pressure to reach the historical high of 72000. Accumulating energy is needed to break through the previous high: the amount of funds/hot events could be key to the breakthrough. (4) The European Central Bank interest rate decision next week, will there be a rate cut in Europe in June: 40% of the countries globally have already reduced interest rates, and next week the European Central Bank interest rate decision, there is a high probability of changes in European interest rate policy. If a rate cut is confirmed, BTC is expected to break through its historical high.
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