Which asset class is most sensitive to geopolitics?
Among all asset classes, commodities (Commodities) remain the most responsive to geopolitical events. The reason is simple: geopolitics directly affects supply, supply chains, and sovereign risks.
But within the commodities world, there are two categories that always lead the scene during global tensions:
1️⃣ Energy commodities
Oil and gas are the true backbone of the global economy, and their prices move not only based on expectations but on actual capacity to pump and flow.
Any political development in a major producing country can instantly change the market balance. For example, in Venezuela, any real political breakthrough could mean the return of 2 to 3 million barrels per day to the global market, from a country with the largest proven oil reserves in the world.
That’s why oil doesn’t wait for market opening to react… The market prices the scenario before it happens.
2️⃣ Precious metals
Led by gold.
Gold is not just an investment asset, but a language of global trust. In every negative geopolitical event, investors move toward gold as a safe haven to preserve value, not to generate returns.
What makes gold special: • High liquidity • Ease of transport compared to other assets • A historical ability to preserve value for decades, even centuries
Therefore, during times of uncertainty, the question is not: Why did gold rise? But: Why wasn’t it in the portfolio?
In conclusion
Geopolitics does not affect all assets equally. A deep understanding of commodity sensitivity, especially energy and gold, is not an analytical luxury but an essential part of risk management.
In a world of increasing uncertainty, Hedging begins with understanding, not reaction.
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Which asset class is most sensitive to geopolitics?
Among all asset classes, commodities (Commodities) remain the most responsive to geopolitical events.
The reason is simple: geopolitics directly affects supply, supply chains, and sovereign risks.
But within the commodities world, there are two categories that always lead the scene during global tensions:
1️⃣ Energy commodities
Oil and gas are the true backbone of the global economy, and their prices move not only based on expectations but on actual capacity to pump and flow.
Any political development in a major producing country can instantly change the market balance.
For example, in Venezuela, any real political breakthrough could mean the return of 2 to 3 million barrels per day to the global market, from a country with the largest proven oil reserves in the world.
That’s why oil doesn’t wait for market opening to react…
The market prices the scenario before it happens.
2️⃣ Precious metals
Led by gold.
Gold is not just an investment asset, but a language of global trust.
In every negative geopolitical event, investors move toward gold as a safe haven to preserve value, not to generate returns.
What makes gold special:
• High liquidity
• Ease of transport compared to other assets
• A historical ability to preserve value for decades, even centuries
Therefore, during times of uncertainty, the question is not: Why did gold rise?
But: Why wasn’t it in the portfolio?
In conclusion
Geopolitics does not affect all assets equally.
A deep understanding of commodity sensitivity, especially energy and gold, is not an analytical luxury but an essential part of risk management.
In a world of increasing uncertainty,
Hedging begins with understanding, not reaction.
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