2026-01-20 23:20:57

Recently, the trade tensions between Europe and the United States have become increasingly intense, with both sides imposing tariffs in turn. Global investors are panicking, pouring money into safe-haven assets like gold. As of the close, international gold has stabilized above the key level of 4750, completing an effective technical breakout, with further upside potential.

In the short term, the bullish sentiment is particularly strong. The support at 4750 has been solidified, and it is advisable to consider initiating long positions around 4720, adding to positions near 4740, with targets aimed at the 4775 to 4785 range. Keep a close eye on the 4800 level; once broken, it would open the door to a larger upward channel.

Looking at the fundamentals, the logic for a gold bull market in 2026 is now very clear. The trade war shows no signs of easing in the short term, and geopolitical risks around the world continue to stimulate safe-haven demand, providing strong support for gold. Additionally, the Federal Reserve plans to cut interest rates more than twice this year. Once the easing cycle begins, the US dollar index will be suppressed, real interest rates will decline, and gold’s attractiveness will significantly increase. These factors combined reinforce a long-term bullish outlook.

If you are considering medium- to long-term positioning, now is actually a good time to start a bull market. Dips can be used to accumulate positions. As trade risks and geopolitical conflicts continue to ferment, global liquidity is becoming more and more relaxed, and gold prices are likely to gradually move toward the 5000 to 5500 range. Investors might consider buying on dips during pullbacks, managing risks properly—short-term volatility should not be a major concern.

Overall, gold currently has both safe-haven value and sensitivity to interest rates. With technical breakthroughs and fundamental support working together, the strategy for 2026 is to follow the trend in the short term and hold firmly in the long term—no need to overcomplicate.

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OptionWhisperer

· 5h ago

Gold has indeed surged this time, but are 5000-5500 a bit optimistic? --- Wait, can we really not see any easing in the trade war? Why do I feel like these analysts always say "long-term bullish"... --- 4750 has stabilized, so should I buy now or wait until 4720 to act? I'm a bit unsure. --- More than two rate cuts? Does the Federal Reserve really dare to do that? Not afraid of imported inflation? --- Short-term trend following and long-term holding—easy to say, hard to do. Can the mindset stay steady? --- Safe-haven funds are pouring in crazily... This logic is basically betting that geopolitical conflicts won't end. Thinking about it, it's a bit risky. --- Technical breakthrough + fundamentals, sounds perfect, but I'm just worried that once the hype fades, it will collapse.

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MindsetExpander

· 5h ago

4750 has stabilized, this wave is indeed a bit fierce, the trade war is really happening. --- 5000-5500? Bro, your expectations are a bit bold, but the logic of rate cuts + safe-haven funds does hold up. --- Just hold on tight and that's it, don't obsess over the K-line every day. --- The key is whether the Federal Reserve will really cut rates or not; otherwise, this wave might just be a false alarm. --- Gold, you know, when it rises, I regret not adding more, and when it falls, I start doubting life. Just get in early and you're good. --- I'm just wondering, why every time there's risk, people go crazy selling gold. Has it already become a collective belief? --- Try bottom-fishing at 4720, anyway, besides gold, there's not much else to go for right now. --- It's the story of 2026 again, and we still have to endure more than a year in between. Only those who can hold on will win.

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POAPlectionist

· 5h ago

The gold bull market has started, and this wave of safe-haven funds is really crazy. As long as the trade war continues, our gold won't stop either—simple logic. Holding steady at 4750 is really crucial, but honestly, the 5000 target might be a bit of an overreach. Still, I remain optimistic about short-term 4800. Interest rate cut cycle? How long will the Federal Reserve keep playing this game? If it continues like this, gold is going to skyrocket. Instead of obsessing over technicals, it's better to focus on geopolitical risks—that's the true heart of gold.

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RamenDeFiSurvivor

· 5h ago

Gold has risen again, and the trade war this sword has never been put down. Alright, let's continue to go all in. --- Can 4800 really be broken? It feels like every day there's talk but no action... --- Wait, is the premise of more than two rate cuts reliable? Will the Federal Reserve cooperate that much? --- I understand the logic of bottom-fishing, but who knows where the real bottom is when you’re reluctant to sell. --- 5000-5500? Okay, then I’ll keep holding and waiting, this is how long-term bullishness works. --- Short-term and long-term holding, easy to say, but the toughest part is the mindset. --- If this wave of trade friction really eases, what will happen to gold? The logic feels too simple, and I’m a bit anxious.

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SatoshiChallenger

· 5h ago

Interesting, another analyst who pumped gold from 4750 to 5500 by telling stories I'm not trying to criticize, but every time in history when people say "this time is different," the market has taught investors how many lessons Data shows: what was the approximate return rate for believers in the last gold "bull market"? Whether the trade war eases or not, at the end of the day, it's still political game-playing. Do people writing these articles really think they can calculate it? I suggest everyone look at the history of gold falling from 1900 to 1000 in 2011 before entering the market Ironically, when safe-haven assets and rate cut logic work together, it's usually the most dangerous time for the market 5000 to 5500? First, ask yourself if you're willing to be caught at 4800

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MEVHunterWang

· 6h ago

During the early stage of the gold bull market, don't hold back—buy the dip; that's the key. --- If 4800 breaks, I'll add to my position. This wave of the 2026 market is definitely coming. --- The trade war is endless, so safe-haven funds must pour into gold. The logic is solid. --- The 5000 target is a bit conservative; I think there's no suspense in pushing toward 5500. --- Holding onto this phrase is brilliant—just avoid frequent trading, really. --- If 4750 breaks, next is 4800; round-number levels are often breakout points. --- When the Fed cuts interest rates, the dollar will inevitably be suppressed, and gold prices will take off—it's just a matter of time. --- Buying the dip and building positions now is truly an opportunity; waiting until the end of last year would have been more costly. --- Short-term trend-following is fine, but don't ruin your long-term holdings—that's deadly. --- As trade frictions intensify and geopolitical risks increase, funds will only buy gold or not—it's that simple.

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