#加密生态动态追踪 Recently, someone asked me how to operate now and which coins to buy. I can only smile—it's only now that you realize, we've already quietly infiltrated.
Trading requires mastering the rhythm. When prices are low and no one is paying attention, that's actually the best window for positioning; when the whole network is discussing it, it's often a signal to sell. Simply put, buy during the quiet periods and sell during the hype—that's the logic of huge profits.
The biggest test is mindset. Being able to hold on and wait is what allows you to survive long enough in the volatile crypto m

#大户持仓变化 December 16 evening market analysis: Trading opportunities amid bullish and bearish tug-of-war
Tonight, the crypto market enters a multi-cycle divergence pattern, with technical indicators showing interesting contrasts—let’s get straight to the essentials, skipping the fluff!
From the 4-hour chart perspective, the Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing. Although the bearish trend has not fully reversed, its momentum is clearly weakening. The MACD indicator has turned around, and the shrinking of the bearish momentum bars indicates that the short-term downward force is gradually dimini

Recently, $ETH has shown a stronger resilience to declines compared to $BTC, mainly reflecting that major funds are holding larger positions in the short term. However, from the latest funding data, large investors have already started to exit. The current market rally is just a technical rebound; the true trend direction still follows yesterday's downward movement.
In terms of price levels, resistance is concentrated around the 2950-3000 range. If it cannot hold here, it will be difficult to continue upward. The first support level below is approximately around 2807. If this level is broken,

#大户持仓变化 $PTB this upward move isn't over yet. The rally during the midday session looked quite vigorous, but to say this is the top? Still early. From the distribution of chips, it's clear that the big players are collecting short positions and then pushing higher—this is a common tactic.
The problem is: now a lot of people want to short $PTB, and this idea is actually very risky. This coin will continue to rise. A shakeout is inevitable, but if you really go short against the trend, you'll basically be inviting trouble. Instead of taking this risk, it's better to wait and see, and act only wh

#大户持仓变化 $BTC $ETH $ZEC This recent market trend has been truly frustrating. Bitcoin has fallen below a key support level, prompting many to ask: Have we reached the bottom?
From a technical perspective, the signals are already clear—after the 60-week moving average was breached, the market has clearly entered a technical bear market phase. The MACD momentum continues to decline, and there is divergence between price and volume. These characteristics are consistent with the early stages of past bear markets. Coupled with the psychological expectation of the "four-year cycle" constantly fermenti

#大户持仓变化 Market trends have not stopped over the past two months, continuously breaking upwards. After carefully analyzing the capital movements, I found that the bulls are increasing their positions quite aggressively. From the comparison of long and short positions, the bullish side is almost at a 1:3 ratio. This kind of imbalance usually indicates that large funds are positioning here. The selling pressure above is barely felt; as long as the price stabilizes at the previous high, it’s highly likely to push higher later. During such times, one must keep up with the market rhythm; the bullis

#美联储降息 Can Non-Farm Payroll Data Reshape Short-Term Rate Cut Expectations?
Tonight at 21:30, the US Non-Farm Payroll report will be released, covering November data and revised October data. This report is not just about numbers; it influences market expectations for the probability of rate cuts in January next year — the current interest rate market has already fully priced in the possibility of no rate cuts. However, there is still room for the data to turn expectations around.
If the actual new employment significantly falls short of the consensus of "50,000+" or the unemployment rate rises

#大户持仓变化 Tuesday Market Review: Found quite a few opportunities amid the volatility. When the price retraced, I decisively entered long positions, ultimately gaining a profit of 455 points, which I am quite satisfied with.
Currently, $BTC has retraced to the key support level of 3638. I immediately adjusted my strategy and took a contrarian approach by shorting. Market opportunities are constantly happening; the key is execution—it's not enough to just identify the right levels, you have to act quickly.
The next target is set at 85,000, a position of great significance. $ETH should also be mon

Bitcoin experienced a heavy drop last night. On December 16, BTC broke below the $86,000 support level and briefly touched around $85,500. Just a week ago, the price plummeted from above $90,000, and market sentiment instantly reversed.
As of press time, Bitcoin is quoted at $86,203, with an intraday decline of nearly 4%. To summarize the current situation in one sentence: risk assets are cooling off across the board, and Bitcoin cannot remain immune.
Who is driving this decline? The key word is two characters: selling.
Data shows that on December 15, there was a concentrated outflow from Bitc

There's a chance with this wave; I am optimistic about a short-term rebound in the market, and doubling the gains is highly probable. Retail investors are accumulating at the bottom, but large funds are selling off simultaneously, which is a typical market game. My target levels remain unchanged; I will adjust based on how the trend develops this round.
Investors looking to bottom fish $ZEC should stay calm. The previous short-selling arbitrage has already been completed, and we are now entering a bullish profit cycle. But don’t forget, this is a long-term contest. Market rhythm is always shap

#加密生态动态追踪 Christmas is half a month away, and this time window has always been a hot market every year. Based on past data, coins related to this theme often see gains of over 100 times, especially meme coins with a strong holiday vibe, making their popularity obvious.
This wave is a high-quality Christmas concept theme—if you have studied past cycle patterns, you'll find that holidays are indeed a period of meme coin explosions. Those who position early usually can enjoy the initial dividends. From a market psychology perspective, holiday hotspots inherently have viral properties, and combin

#大户持仓变化 December 16 afternoon, $BTC trend analysis
After dropping from 93547 all the way down to 85073, the rebound only reached 86471 before getting stuck. Currently, it’s oscillating at low levels, and the key resistance level has not been effectively broken through. It looks like the bears are still in control.
The MA144 and MA169 moving averages are both pressing down hard, both above the current price, and both are starting to turn downward. During the consolidation, the candlestick bodies are small, with bulls and bears fighting, but it’s clear that the bears have more strength.
There ar

#美联储降息 These two days, the market has returned to a pattern of oscillation. Yesterday's decline essentially wiped out the previous gains, and now the price is moving back and forth within a range in the short term, making it hard to determine the next direction. The pattern looks like a shakeout, but there is also a lack of clear breakout signals. Overall, the current trend remains somewhat weak.
From the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is still in a downtrend correction, so both longs and shorts are a bit uncertain. The price has stabilized around 85,500. The key next step is whether it can break thro

#美联储降息 Another "Black Monday." Bitcoin drops below $86,000, Ethereum loses the $3,000 level. The market is all red, and many people are panicking and cutting losses. But a closer look reveals another scene — real big players are quietly bottom fishing.
Brazilian asset management giant Itaú publicly announces plans to add Bitcoin to its investment portfolio; MicroStrategy is spending big to buy tens of thousands of BTC; MetaMask announces full support for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Meanwhile, JPMorgan issues money market funds on Ethereum, and BlackRock continuously increases holdings through ETFs

Mr. Jin has been doing pretty well with his live streaming schedule recently, and the community enthusiasm has remained quite stable. Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain, the two main assets, are both highly discussed—whether in terms of technical analysis or capital flow, they are worth paying attention to.
From recent trends, the activity levels of these two main chains' ecosystems have not declined, and new development activities continue to be implemented. Market participation remains high, with many investors closely monitoring related price changes.
For friends with medium- to long-term pla

In the coming week, several key dates will directly influence the market trend. Instead of passively waiting for market movements, it's better to get ahead of the information gap.
**December 16 — Unemployment Rate Data**
This data essentially reflects the economic sentiment. A rising unemployment rate indicates economic weakness, leading to decreased risk appetite among investors, with risk assets being the first to be affected; conversely, stable employment suggests a healthy economy and may trigger a market rally. The crypto market is highly sensitive to macroeconomic expectations, and any u

#大户持仓变化 $BEAT has indeed been moving independently of $PIPPIN recently, and the logic behind this is worth pondering.
The positions that retail investors are generally bearish on are often the areas where large players are most willing to take contrarian actions. Yesterday, around 10 PM, someone asked—at the 2.7062 level, can I still hold the short position? My answer is no.
Why? On-chain data shows continuous net inflows, the hourly K-line is stabilizing and accompanied by increased volume, indicating that the bearish momentum is weakening, and the bulls are starting to take control of the na

The bullish pattern for BTC has already ended. The daily candle closed below 8.41, which is the most important criterion since the rise from 8.16. According to the analysis shared in last night's live session, the levels 8.55, 8.41, and 8.29 can be used to enter rebounds in batches. Regardless of whether you dare or not, these levels are worth paying attention to.
On the 4-hour chart, the price has already touched the lower band of the channel, coupled with the key level at 0.168 in the overall structure, which creates strong downward attraction. The way to control risk is simple—small stop-lo

#以太坊行情技术解读 When it comes to market volatility, it's like riding a roller coaster—ups and downs are the norm. But to survive and thrive in the market, the key is to learn to think across multiple time frames.
Looking back at recent trends: Bitcoin has been trending downward from around 90,800, touching a low of 85,000, with a decline of nearly 4,800 points. Ethereum's performance is similar, pulling back from around 3,160 to the 2,850-2,890 range, a drop of about 280 points. Such oscillations are actually normal—any trend is made up of various-sized waves.
The problem is that many people only f

The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates on the industry prediction platform has already soared to 98%, which looks very certain. But the question is—has the market truly digested this?
What we are seeing is real liquidity contraction. It's like being verbally threatened to freeze accounts versus actually having the accounts frozen; the nature is completely different. One is a bluff, the other is real action. The expectation of rate hikes has long been priced in by the market, but the tide of liquidity withdrawal is real—there's often a gap between these two, which becomes t