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The roots of military and economic power are once again shifting from software and information to conventional resources.
The Iranian conflict is a good illustration of this shift. Oil is once again becoming not just a tool of pressure, but a fully-fledged weapon and part of the geopolitical struggle, not just a raw material. This is a signal that competition between countries is increasingly returning to the basics—control over the energy resources that underpin economies.
For countries that lack access to such resources, the risks are only growing: from surges in inflation and economic problems to limitations in the development of AI technologies and the military of the future.
At the same time, the idea that geography no longer plays a role in the modern world is gradually crumbling. Recent events show the opposite—in the era of globalization, physical resources and supply chains have not disappeared, but have become an even more powerful tool of influence.
Whoever controls supply chains dictates the rules of the game.