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The cryptocurrency market is going through a difficult period, and the price of gold continues to show impressive growth, overshadowing the prospects of the largest digital asset. Amid this dynamic, analysts are expressing pessimistic forecasts for the future of Bitcoin, suggesting the possibility of a significant price drop.
Why

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What does BTC.D represent and why is the market talking about it
BTC.D, or Bitcoin dominance ratio, measures how much influence the queen of cryptocurrencies has within the entire digital ecosystem. The calculation is simple but revealing:
BTC.D = Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Crypto Market Cap ×

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Have you noticed how sometimes Bitcoin rises but your altcoins plummet? Or how the entire market moves in sync with the king of cryptocurrencies? The answer lies in an indicator that many traders ignore but should be on your radar: Bitcoin dominance (btc.d or DOM).
What is it

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Many newbies ask me what DOM means, so today let's talk about this indicator.
In simple terms, the BTC dominance index refers to the percentage of Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to the total market capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market. For example, if Bitcoin's market cap is $90 billion and the total market cap of the crypto market is $100 billion, then the DOM is 90%. Back in the day, it could rise to 60-70%, but now it basically maintains around 50-55%.
Why is it important? Because BTC is the "anchor" of the cryptocurrency market. Most people need to buy BTC or USDT first when entering the market, and in a bear market, they have to convert their coins to BTC to preserve their capital. Therefore, the direction of BTC directly determines the market trend.
Four typical scenarios:
1️⃣ BTC rises → The entire market follows suit (the most beautiful trend)
2️⃣ BTC rises → Altcoins instead drop (funds are flooding into BTC)
3️⃣ BTC drops → The entire market collapses (When the boss is in trouble, the whole family suffers)
4️⃣

Trump recently announced that $2000 cash bonuses would be distributed to low- and middle-income Americans, claiming the funds come from import tariff revenue. As soon as the news broke, the crypto market became agitated: BTC rose 1.75%, ETH rose 3.32%, and Privacy Coin Zcash and Monero surged by double digits.
The logic of the market's reaction is very simple: history repeats itself. During the pandemic stimulus checks in 2020, the U.S. government directly distributed money, triggering an epic bull market for Bitcoin from $4000 to $69000. Now, with a similar script returning, investors naturally expect "history to repeat itself."
But this time there is a key detail that everyone has overlooked - what is the true source of this money?
What is in the gift box?
On the surface, Trump plans to distribute dividends using $19.5 billion in tariff revenue. However, compared to the $37 trillion national debt of the United States, this amount is merely a drop in the bucket. Even more disheartening is that this policy has yet to be approved.