Slice users just got an extensive educational editorial on Hurst Cycle Theory
It covers how to phase out cycles, the 8 Principles of Hurst Cycle Theory, the importance of VTLs and FLDs, and much more
Link if bi0

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TonyTheBull

04-10 02:47

My Slice subs asked for me to publish this chart on TradingView so they could watch it develop
Now that it's public, I'll share it here
If Bitcoin does rally, I suspect this is what we get as we still head towards an October 2026 bottom at or around $34,000

BTC0,76%

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TonyTheBull

04-09 20:44

Is this a long or short?

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TonyTheBull

04-09 01:22

Another perspective suggesting patience is required, even if misdirection has arrived

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TonyTheBull

04-09 01:11

Assets, including Bitcoin, tend to go through accumulation at cyclical bottoms
It would be an anomaly for Bitcoin to bounce after such a short period of time at range lows
Patience is paramount

BTC0,76%

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TonyTheBull

04-09 00:55

Another perspective suggesting patience is required, even is misdirection has arrived

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TonyTheBull

04-09 00:44

Took some time away to reset and rest
Video dropping on Slice in ~one hour
Bitcoin - S&P 500 - Silver - BTC.D

BTC0,76%

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TonyTheBull

04-08 14:11

Listen
If Bitcoin / crypto suddenly is viewed by the world as the non-sovereign play…
That is a powerful enough narrative to potentially change my longer term bearish thesis
At the center of my bearish thesis is a simple Doji candlestick on the yearly chart — a pause due to indecision
Indecision can lead to a reversal of trend, or strong continuation of the trend that paused
After indecision comes decisiveness — whatever direction the next narrative takes us, will be defining
I have said all along if a new narrative worthy enough appears, it will replace the narratives I am saying are dead:

BTC0,76%

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TonyTheBull

04-08 02:19

“In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity.”
— Sun Tzu

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TonyTheBull

04-08 00:15

Not that this can't turn into much much more upside, the fact that trolls are acting this celebratory over a 4.5% intraday move, is rather interesting
It is an extremely common movement
Also, pay attention to the figures. Volatility decreased over time and has been picking up again as the trend may have changed
Upside volatity became less interesting
Perhaps downside volatity resparks some interest in BTC

BTC0,76%

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TonyTheBull

04-08 00:09

On X, I got this wrong, right? If you hear me speak publicly, I chose a side, but I was always open and am always open to pivoting
On Slice, I got ahead of potentially being wrong, and gave some clear signals that would tell my subscribers to buy/long instead
We need a weekly close to confirm, but it does look like a buy signal is being generated by the RSI according to the Wilder Method (the tool's creator)
I remain unconvinced by the move – I actually just hedge shorted
My system entered a long once we got above the daily Kijun-sen on the Ichimoku, something I said live today in my video wit

BTC0,76%

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TonyTheBull

04-07 22:41

I am on the wrong side of this at the moment, but about to flip
This is such an incredible moment to witness
Can't wait to see how this concludes
Somewhat skeptical here, but can't deny this has some power behind it

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TonyTheBull

04-07 17:00

YEARLY Bollinger Band breakouts on Oil have historically lead to YEARS of an uptrend after

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TonyTheBull

04-07 15:04

Tune in
I am going to say more things no one wants to hear

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TonyTheBull

04-07 13:47

I warned that something catastrophic could be coming
It’s in the charts
I say this in advance, and I am widely ridiculed
Then the President of the US makes a statement that he’s going to end a civilization tonight
This is not a joke. The reality of this is life altering across humanity
I tried to prepare others. But I guess there is just no preparing for this amount of risk

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TonyTheBull

04-07 10:43

The Universal Laws of Nature are omnipresent in financial markets

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TonyTheBull

04-07 01:11

The right perspective is everything
Those focusing on the daily, weekly, etc. are missing what's going on the highest timeframes
The high timeframes are telling us this has a lot more to go
6M RSI is nowhere near a bottom zone
Price is still hanging onto the Tenkan-sen. Losing it results in a -58 to -74% decline
I have estimated for a 50% decline due to diminishing drawdowns, which takes us to where?
My target at $34,000
A breakdown of this wedge pattern should do the trick

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TonyTheBull

04-07 00:44

Note: Cycles can happen, yet not produce a new ATH and simply be a bear market rally
The biggest problem this space has, is thinking a cycle didn't happen because it didn't behave the way they expected
Doesn't mean it wasn't a cycle
Smaller degree cycles, known as intracycle harmonics, exist within larger degree cycles
The smaller degree harmonics will behave different depending on where the smaller degree cycle is in the larger degree cycle
Past the larger degree cycle amplitude, and it becomes more likely that cycles are bear market rallies